Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Communications at congresses:
REFINING PREDICTIONS OF IBERIAN PLANT DISTRIBUTION: LESSONS FROM P. NIGRA AND P. SYLVESTRIS PALAEOECOLOGICAL-BASED HABITAT SUITABILITY MODELS
Year:2011
Research Areas
  • Phytogeography
Information
Abstract
In recent years, challenged by the climate scenarios put forward by the IPCC and its potential impact on plant distribution, numerous predictive techniques -including the so called habitat suitability models (HSM)- have been developed. Yet, as the output of the different methods produces different distribution areas, developing validation tools are strong needs to reduce uncertainties. Focused in the Iberian Peninsula, we propose a palaeo-based method to increase the robustness of the HSM, by developing an ecological approach to understand the mismatches between the palaeoecological information and the projections of the HSMs. Here, we present the result of (1) investigating causal relationships between environmental variables and presence of Pinus sylvestris L. and P. nigra Arn. available from the 3rd Spanish Forest Inventory, (2) developing present and past presence-predictions through the MaxEnt model for 6 and 21 kyr BP, and (3) assessing these models through comparisons with biomized palaeoecological data available from the European Pollen Database for the Iberian Peninsula.
International
Si
Congress
5th International Conference of the International Biogeography Society
960
Place
Creta (Grecia)
Reviewers
Si
ISBN/ISSN
00-00000-00-0
Start Date
07/01/2011
End Date
11/01/2011
From page
109
To page
110
Mediterranean Biogeography: Where History Meets Ecology Across Scales
Participants
  • Autor: Ignacio Garcia-Amorena Gomez del Moral (UPM)
  • Autor: Elena Moreno Amat (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Historia y dinámica del paisaje vegetal
  • Departamento: Silvopascicultura
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Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNPACTO (IPT-020000-2010-22)