Memorias de investigación
Artículos en revistas:
Traffic uncertainty in toll motorway concessions in Spain
Año:2012

Áreas de investigación
  • Ingenierías,
  • Transporte

Datos
Descripción
This study assessed the inaccuracy of the traffic estimates for toll motorway concessions in Spain. It was found that the estimates conducted by both the government and the concessionaire showed a significant bias towards overestimating traffic. The level of overestimation in Spain is even greater than that reported by other studies based on worldwide data. The notorious levels of overestimation entail severe burdens to the economics of the concessionaires that often prompt renegotiations of the contracts, which are often accepted by the government. These renegotiations usually end up with toll changes or extension of the concession terms, which have to be ultimately borne by future motorway users. It is postulated herein that the bias towards overestimating traffic in toll motorways in Spain is mostly caused by strategic issues rather than by modelling errors.
Internacional
Si
JCR del ISI
Si
Título de la revista
Proceedings of the ICE - Transport
ISSN
0965-092X
Factor de impacto JCR
0,19
Información de impacto
POSICIÓN QUE OCUPA LA REVISTA EN LA CATEGORÍA: 101 de 115
Volumen
165
DOI
Número de revista
2
Desde la página
97
Hasta la página
105
Mes
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Grupos de investigación, Departamentos, Centros e Institutos de I+D+i relacionados
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Planificación del Transporte