Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Research Publications in journals:
A Bayesian Kriging regression for the accuracy improvement of beam modeled t-junctions of buses and coaches structures with a methodology based on fem behavioral analysis
Research Areas
  • Engineering
This paper has been developed in the framework of the alternative beam T-junction solution previously propoused by the authors (Alcalá et al., 2013), with the scope of optimizing the behavior of buses and coaches upper structures modeled with beam type elements. The alternative beam T-junction model proposed by the authors, had a total of six elastic elements at the junction level allowing to modify the localized rigidity of any modeled T-unctions, therefore improving their behavior and avoiding the well known rigidity issue these elements have. A fundamental aspect behind the use of these alternative beam models is related to the necessity of correctly estimating the rigidity values of the elastic elements for each modeled T-junction. In this context, we propose applying a surrogate model for the reference calculations which is based on statistical Bayesian kriging predictors. Statistical predictions have the added value, with respect to deterministic solutions,of providing a quantification of uncertainty. The development of the kriging predictors has required the application of a statistical methodology including computer experiment design, computation of moments of inertia, graphical and ANOVA type sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo computation of Bayesian inference. The results of the application have been a very satisfactory trade-off between accuracy of approximation prediction) and computational cost. The surrogate kriging models also provide an useful tool for a better understanding of the input-output relationships involved in the reference computations.
International Journal of Automotive Technology
Impact factor JCR
Impact info
Datos JCR del año 2012
Journal number
From page
To page
  • Autor: Francisco Mariano Badea Romero (UPM)
  • Autor: Jose Manuel Mira Mcwilliams (UPM)
  • Autor: Enrique Alcala Fazio (UPM)
  • Autor: Francisco Aparicio Izquierdo (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Estadística computacional y Modelado estocástico
  • Grupo de Investigación: Grupo de Inv. en Seguridad e Impacto Medioambiental de Vehículos y Transportes (GIVET)
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Instituto Universitario de Investigación del Automóvil (INSIA)
  • Departamento: Ingeniería de Organización, Administración de Empresas y Estadística
S2i 2019 Observatorio de investigación @ UPM con la colaboración del Consejo Social UPM
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNPACTO (IPT-020000-2010-22)