Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Artículos en revistas:
Match statistics related to winning in the group stage of 2014 Brazil FIFA World Cup
Año:2015
Áreas de investigación
  • Educación física y deporte
Datos
Descripción
Identifying match statistics that strongly contribute to winning in football matches is a very important step towards a more predictive and prescriptive performance analysis. The current study aimed to determine relationships between 24 match statistics and the match outcome (win, loss and draw) in all games and close games of the group stage of FIFA World Cup (2014, Brazil) by employing the generalised linear model. The cumulative logistic regression was run in the model taking the value of each match statistic as independent variable to predict the logarithm of the odds of winning. Relationships were assessed as effects of a two-standard-deviation increase in the value of each variable on the change in the probability of a team winning a match. Non-clinical magnitude-based inferences were employed and were evaluated by using the smallest worthwhile change. Results showed that for all the games, nine match statistics had clearly positive effects on the probability of winning (Shot, Shot on Target, Shot from Counter Attack, Shot from Inside Area, Ball Possession, Short Pass, Average Pass Streak, Aerial Advantage, and Tackle), four had clearly negative effects (Shot Blocked, Cross, Dribble and Red Card), other 12 statistics had either trivial or unclear effects. While for the close games, the effects of Aerial Advantage and Yellow Card turned to trivial and clearly negative, respectively. Information from the tactical modelling can provide a more thorough and objective match understanding to coaches and performance analysts for evaluating post-match performances and for scouting upcoming oppositions.
Internacional
Si
JCR del ISI
Si
Título de la revista
Journal of Sports Sciences
ISSN
0264-0414
Factor de impacto JCR
2,095
Información de impacto
Datos JCR del año 2013
Volumen
DOI
Número de revista
Desde la página
1205
Hasta la página
1213
Mes
ABRIL
Ranking
Esta actividad pertenece a memorias de investigación
Participantes
  • Autor: Hongyou Liu (UPM)
  • Autor: Miguel Angel Gomez Ruano (UPM)
Grupos de investigación, Departamentos, Centros e Institutos de I+D+i relacionados
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Grupo de Inv. Psicosocial y Técnicas Aplicadas a la Actividad Física y el Deporte
S2i 2021 Observatorio de investigación @ UPM con la colaboración del Consejo Social UPM
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNPACTO (IPT-020000-2010-22)