Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Communications at congresses:
Evolution of extreme temperature events in short term climate projection for Iberian Peninsula
Year:2014
Research Areas
  • Crop production
Information
Abstract
Extreme events of maximum and minimum temperatures are a main hazard for agricultural production in Iberian Peninsula. For this purpose, in this study we analyze projections of their evolution that could be valid for the next decade, represented in this study by the 30-year period 2004-2034 (target period). For this purpose two kinds of data were used in this study: 1) observations from the station network of AEMET (Spanish National Meteorological Agency) for five Spanish locations, and 2) simulated data at a resolution of 50 50 km horizontal grid derived from the outputs of twelve Regional Climate Models (RCMs) taken from project ENSEMBLES (van der Linden and Mitchell, 2009), with a bias correction (Dosio and Paruolo, 2011; Dosio et al., 2012) regarding the observational dataset Spain02 (Herrera et al., 2012). To validate the simulated climate, the available period of observations was compared to a baseline period (1964-1994) of simulated climate for all locations. Then, to analyze the changes for the present/very next future, probability of extreme temperature events for 2004-2034 were compared to that of the baseline period. Although only minor changes are expected, small variations in variability may have a significant impact in crop performance.
International
Si
Congress
EUROPEAN GEOSCIENCES UNION (EGU) GENERAL ASSEMBLY 2014
960
Place
Viena (Austria)
Reviewers
Si
ISBN/ISSN
CDP08UPM
Start Date
27/04/2015
End Date
02/05/2014
From page
1
To page
1
Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 16
Participants
  • Autor: Alfredo Rodriguez Sanchez (UPM)
  • Autor: Ana Maria Tarquis Alfonso (UPM)
  • Autor: Enrique Sanchez (UCLM)
  • Autor: Alessandro Dosio (European Commission Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy)
  • Autor: Margarita Ruiz Ramos (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Grupo de Automatización en Señal y Comunicaciones (GASC)
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios Medioambientales (CEIGRAM). Centro Mixto UPM-AGROMUTUA-ENESA
  • Departamento: Matemática Aplicada
  • Departamento: Producción Agraria
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