Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Research Publications in journals:
Measurement of historical cliff-top changes and estimation of future trends using GIS data between Bridlington and Hornsea ? Holderness Coast (UK)
Year:2015
Research Areas
  • Engineering
Information
Abstract
A key requirement for effective coastal zone management is good knowledge of historical rates of change and the ability to predict future shoreline evolution, especially for rapidly eroding areas. Historical shoreline recession analysiswas used for the prediction of future cliff shoreline positions along a section of 9 kmbetween Bridlington and Hornsea, on the northern area of the Holderness Coast, UK. The analysis was based on historical maps and aerial photographs dating from 1852 to 2011 using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) 4.3, extension of ESRI?s ArcInfo 10.×. The prediction of future shorelines was performed for the next 40 years using a variety of techniques, ranging from extrapolation from historical data, geometric approaches like the historical trend analysis, to a process-response numerical model that incorporates physically-based equations and geotechnical stability analysis. With climate change and sea-level rise implying that historical rates of change may not be a reliable guide for the future, enhanced visualization of the evolving coastline has the potential to improve awareness of these changing conditions. Following the IPCC, 2013 report, two sea-level rise rates, 2 mm/yr and 6mm/yr, have been used to estimate future shoreline conditions. This study illustrated that good predictive models, once their limitations are estimated or at least defined, are available for use bymanagers, planners, engineers, scientists and the public to make better decisions regarding coastal management, development, and erosion-control strategies.
International
Si
JCR
Si
Title
Geomorphology
ISBN
0169-555X
Impact factor JCR
2,785
Impact info
Volume
230
Journal number
From page
146
To page
160
Month
SIN MES
Ranking
Participants
  • Autor: Ricardo Castedo Ruiz (UPM)
  • Autor: Rogelio de la Vega Panizo (UPM)
  • Autor: Marta Fernandez Hernandez (UPM)
  • Autor: Carlos Paredes Bartolome (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Ingeniería de Georrecursos y Modelización
  • Departamento: Ingeniería Geológica y Minera
S2i 2020 Observatorio de investigación @ UPM con la colaboración del Consejo Social UPM
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNPACTO (IPT-020000-2010-22)