Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Communications at congresses:
Forecasting Photovoltaic Energy using MEWMA models
Year:2015
Research Areas
  • Engineering
Information
Abstract
In any electricity market, both conventional and renewable producers trade their energy in the day-ahead market. Thus, renewable generating companies require a forecasting tool in order to predict the quantity of electricity that they will produce in the short-term future. This paper proposes a forecasting procedure for solar power producers, based on the multivariate exponential smoothing model and employing the solar radiation next-day forecast from an exter-nal agent. The model is estimated using the EM algorithm. The proposed method is general and can be straightforwardly implemented in any photovoltaic power producer.
International
Si
Congress
12h International Conference on the European Energy Market
960
Place
Lisboa
Reviewers
Si
ISBN/ISSN
978-1-4673-6692-2
Start Date
19/05/2015
End Date
22/05/2015
From page
1
To page
920
EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET. INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE. 12TH 2015. (EEM 2015) Proceedings
Participants
  • Autor: Eduardo Caro Huertas (UPM)
  • Autor: Francisco Javier Cara Cañas (UPM)
  • Autor: Jesus Juan Ruiz (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Estadística computacional y Modelado estocástico
  • Departamento: Ingeniería de Organización, Administración de Empresas y Estadística
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