Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Communications at congresses:
Comparative Study of Nonparametric and Parametric PV Models to Forecast AC Power Output of PV Plants
Year:2015
Research Areas
  • Electronic technology and of the communications
Information
Abstract
In this paper, a comparison between two approaches to predict the AC power output of PV systems is carried out in terms of forecast performance. Each approach uses one of the two main types of PV modeling, parametric and nonparametric, and both use as inputs several forecasts of meteorological variables from a Numerical Weather Prediction model. Furthermore, actual AC power measurements of a PV plant are used to train the nonparametric model, to adjust the parameters of the different PV components models used in the parametric approach and to assess the quality of the forecasts. The approaches presented similar behavior, although the nonparametric approach, based on Quantile Regression Forests, showed smaller biased errors due to the machine learning tool used.
International
Si
Congress
31st European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition
960
Place
Hamburgo-Alemania
Reviewers
Si
ISBN/ISSN
3-936338-39-6
10.4229/EUPVSEC20152015-5BV.2.16
Start Date
14/09/2015
End Date
18/09/2015
From page
2230
To page
2234
Proceedíngs 31st European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition
Participants
  • Autor: Marcelo Pinho Almeida (U. Sau Paulo)
  • Autor: Oscar Perpiñan Lamigueiro (UPM)
  • Autor: Luis Narvarte Fernandez (UPM)
  • Autor: M. Muñoz
  • Autor: I. de la Parra (U. Navarra)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Sistemas Fotovoltáicos
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Instituto de Energía Solar
  • Departamento: Ingeniería Eléctrica, Electrónica Automática y Física Aplicada
  • Departamento: Teoría de la Señal y Comunicaciones (Provisional)
S2i 2020 Observatorio de investigación @ UPM con la colaboración del Consejo Social UPM
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNPACTO (IPT-020000-2010-22)