Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Artículos en revistas:
Climate Threat on the Macaronesian Endemic Bryophyte Flora
Año:2016
Áreas de investigación
  • Biodiversidad
Datos
Descripción
Oceanic islands are of fundamental importance for the conservation of biodiversity because they exhibit high endemism rates coupled with fast extinction rates. Nowhere in Europe is this pattern more conspicuous than in the Macaronesian biogeographic region. A large network of protected areas within the region has been developed, but the question of whether these areas will still be climatically suitable for the globally threatened endemic element in the coming decades remains open. Here, we make predictions on the fate of the Macaronesian endemic bryophyte flora in the context of ongoing climate change. The potential distribution of 35 Macaronesian endemic bryophyte species was assessed under present and future climate conditions using an ensemble modelling approach. Projections of the models under different climate change scenarios predicted an average decrease of suitable areas of 62?87% per species and a significant elevational increase by 2070, so that even the commonest species were predicted to fit either the Vulnerable or Endangered IUCN categories. Complete extinctions were foreseen for six of the studied Macaronesian endemic species. Given the uncertainty regarding the capacity of endemic species to track areas of suitable climate within and outside the islands, active management associated to an effective monitoring program is suggested.
Internacional
Si
JCR del ISI
Si
Título de la revista
Scientific report
ISSN
1040-0303
Factor de impacto JCR
5,578
Información de impacto
Volumen
6
DOI
Número de revista
Desde la página
29156
Hasta la página
29168
Mes
SIN MES
Ranking
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Participantes
  • Autor: Ruben Garcia Mateo (UPM)
  • Autor: J.Patiño; R.G.Mateo;
Grupos de investigación, Departamentos, Centros e Institutos de I+D+i relacionados
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Ecología y Gestión Forestal Sostenible
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