Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Research Publications in journals:
Bayesian Networks as tools for participatory water resources management: An application to the Upper Guadiana Basin, Spain
Year:2010
Research Areas
  • Agriculture
Information
Abstract
This paper describes the application of Bayesian Networks (hereafter Bns) to the development of long term water management strategies in the Upper Guadiana basin. Bns are decision support systems that have long been used in other disciplines, such as medicine and artificial intelligence, and more recently in natural resources management (MERIT project: Bromley 2005). They are based on probability theory which implements Bayes¿ rule of probability. Bns organise the body of knowledge in a given area by mapping out cause¿effect relationships among key variables and encoding them with numbers that represent the extent to which one variable is likely to affect another. Bns are based on the concept of conditional probability and have proved to be a powerful technique to model complex problems where there is uncertainty about the state of the system being modelled, and the data relating to that system.
International
Si
JCR
Si
Title
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
ISBN
1708-3087
Impact factor JCR
1,735
Impact info
Volume
Journal number
From page
1
To page
20
Month
ENERO
Ranking
Participants
  • Autor: Consuelo Varela Ortega (UPM)
  • Autor: P. Zorrilla
  • Autor: Gema Carmona García (UPM)
  • Autor: A. De La Hera
  • Autor: P. Martínez Santos
  • Autor: J. Bromley
  • Autor: H.J. Henriksen
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Economía Agraria y Gestión de los Recursos Naturales
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios Medioambientales (CEIGRAM)
S2i 2020 Observatorio de investigación @ UPM con la colaboración del Consejo Social UPM
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNPACTO (IPT-020000-2010-22)