Descripción
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Recent studies point to climate change being one of the long-term drivers of agricultural market uncertainty. To advance in the understanding of the influence of climate change on future agricultural market developments, we compare a reference scenario for 2030 with alternative simulation scenarios that differ regarding: (1) emission scenarios; (2) climate projections; and (3) the consideration of carbon fertilization effects. For each simulation scenario, the CAPRI model provides global and EU-wide impacts of climate change on agricultural markets. Results show that climate change would considerably affect agrifood markets up to 2030. Nevertheless, market-driven adaptation strategies (production intensification, trade adjustments) would soften the impact of yield shocks on supply and demand. As a result, regional changes in production would be lower than foreseen by other studies focused on supply effects. | |
Internacional
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Si |
Nombre congreso
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29th International Conference of Agricultural Economists ?Agriculture in an Interconnected World?, |
Tipo de participación
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960 |
Lugar del congreso
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Milan, Italy |
Revisores
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Si |
ISBN o ISSN
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00000000 |
DOI
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Fecha inicio congreso
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08/08/2015 |
Fecha fin congreso
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14/08/2015 |
Desde la página
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1 |
Hasta la página
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20 |
Título de las actas
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pendiente de publicación |