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Abstract
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| Urban climate impact is a very important issue to assure that the global climate model results are having a real impact at city level. In this contribution we have used global climate models RCP scenarios to produce climate scenarios at urban scale with 200 m spatial resolution. Global climate models are producing results with around one degree spatial resolution up to 2100 year using different RCP (IPCC) climate scenarios. The coarse resolution of these models prevents to use the information at city level by the city environmental authorities. In this research work, we have used the very well know mesoscale model WRF-Chem (NOAA, US) to produce information on meteorological and air pollution concentrations covering all European domain with 25 km spatial resolution. We have used 2011 as control past year and the RCP scenarios from CCSM global climate model for 4.5 W/m2 and 8.5 W/m2 and for 2030, 2050 and 2100. After running WRF-Chem model using the boundary conditions provided by RCP scenarios with the emissions of 2011, we have performed a detailed downscaling process using CALMET diagnostic model to obtain a full 200 m spatial resolution map of five European cities. The Health impact indicators include heat waves, EU air quality Directives and mortality and morbidity of ozone and PM10 pollution concentrations. We will show the results and the impacts for future RCP IPCC climate scenarios compare with the 2011 control year information for climate and health indicators. Key words: Climate, Downscaling, Health, Indicators. | |
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International
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Si |
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Congress
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VII. Atmospheric Science Symposium |
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960 |
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Place
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Reviewers
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Si |
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ISBN/ISSN
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Start Date
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28/04/2016 |
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End Date
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30/04/2016 |
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From page
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716 |
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To page
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725 |
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Proc. VII. Atmospheric Science Symposium |