Memorias de investigación
Research Project:
VARIABILIDAD CLIMÁTICA MULTIESCALAR. IMPACTOS AGRÍCOLAS Y ECONÓMICOS. II EVALUACIÓN INTEGRADA DE RIESGOS CLIMÁTICOS Y ECONÓMICOS: ADAPTACIÓN DE SISTEMAS AGRÍCOLAS EN ESPAÑA
Year:2016

Research Areas
  • Agriculture

Information
Abstract
The subproject ACER-Agro will examine the agro-economic impact of, and adaptations to, climate variability and change on cropping systems in Spain. Crop yield variations caused by climate have obvious impacts on farm economies, agricultural markets, and food security. European reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and crop insurance will change the economic incentives of farmers affecting current practices and future adaptation strategies. This study will identify the impact of interannual and decadal patterns of present and future climate variability on crop yield and exploitable yield gap for three major cropping systems (winter and summer cereals, and olive) and will be assessed through a modelling chain (climate+crop) and through recorded climate and yields. Thus, atmospheric variables related to teleconnection patterns affecting the Euro-Atlantic sector will be coupled to impacts on yields, in particular to extreme events, for specific seasons and regions. Crop models will be improved for simulating heat stress, identified as a main hazard for summer crops. Adaptation strategies of agriculture for adverse current and future scenarios, will consider new CAP and insurance policies, analysing if they will facilitate farmers' adaptation to changing climate. A better understanding of the actuarial unbalance of winter cereal insurance and the reasons of low insurance penetration rates among olive growers are sought.
International
No
Project type
Proyectos y convenios en convocatorias públicas competitivas
Company
MINECO
Entity Nationality
ESPAÑA
Entity size
Desconocido
Granting date
12/11/2012
Participants

Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Grupo de Sistemas Agrarios (AgSystems)