Descripción
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Different allocation strategies can be found in the literature to deal with the multi-armed bandit problem under a frequentist view or from a Bayesian perspective. In this paper, we propose a novel allocation strategy, the possibilistic reward method. First, possibilistic reward distributions are used to model the uncertainty about the arm expected rewards, which are then converted into probability distributions using a pignistic probability transformation. Finally, a simulation experiment is carried out to find out the one with the highest expected reward, which is then pulled. A parametric probability transformation of the proposed is then introduced together with a dynamic optimization, which implies that neither previous knowledge nor a simulation of the arm distributions is required. A numerical study proves that the proposed method outperforms other policies in the literature in five scenarios: a Bernoulli distribution with very low success probabilities, with success probabilities close to 0.5 and with success probabilities close to 0.5 and Gaussian rewards; and truncated in [0,10] Poisson and exponential distributions. | |
Internacional
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Si |
JCR del ISI
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Si |
Título de la revista
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PROCEEDINGS OF THE 6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND ENTERPRISE SYSTEMS (ICORES) |
ISSN
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978-989-758-218-9 |
Factor de impacto JCR
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Información de impacto
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Volumen
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0 |
DOI
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10.5220/0006186400750084 |
Número de revista
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Desde la página
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75 |
Hasta la página
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84 |
Mes
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SIN MES |
Ranking
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