Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Communications at congresses:
What role does climate change play in agricultural market uncertainty? An integrated assessment taking into account market-driven adjustments
Year:2015
Research Areas
  • Agriculture
Information
Abstract
Recent studies point to climate change being one of the long-term drivers of agricultural market uncertainty. To advance in the understanding of the influence of climate change on future agricultural market developments, we compare a reference scenario for 2030 with alternative simulation scenarios that differ regarding: (1) emission scenarios; (2) climate projections; and (3) the consideration of carbon fertilization effects. For each simulation scenario, the CAPRI model provides global and EU-wide impacts of climate change on agricultural markets. Results show that climate change would considerably affect agrifood markets up to 2030. Nevertheless, market-driven adaptation strategies (production intensification, trade adjustments) would soften the impact of yield shocks on supply and demand. As a result, regional changes in production would be lower than foreseen by other studies focused on supply effects.
International
Si
Congress
29th International Conference of Agricultural Economists ?Agriculture in an Interconnected World?,
960
Place
Milan, Italy
Reviewers
Si
ISBN/ISSN
00000000
Start Date
08/08/2015
End Date
14/08/2015
From page
1
To page
20
pendiente de publicación
Participants
  • Autor: M. Pilar Martinez Muñoz (UPM)
  • Autor: Maria Blanco Fonseca (UPM)
  • Autor: B. Van Doorslaer
  • Autor: F. Ramos
  • Autor: Lucian Emanuel Stanca Trufas (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Economía Agraria y Gestión de los Recursos Naturales
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios Medioambientales (CEIGRAM). Centro Mixto UPM-AGROMUTUA-ENESA
  • Departamento: Economía Agraria, Estadística y Gestión de Empresas
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