Observatorio de I+D+i UPM

Memorias de investigación
Book chapters:
Medium-term Drivers of Food Markets Variability and Uncertainty.
Year:2016
Research Areas
  • Agrarian economy
Information
Abstract
Abstract: With a view to contribute to the current debate about the likely development of price level and variability on agri-food markets in the medium-term (10 to 15 years), we examine in this chapter the main drivers and its associated uncertainties. For this purpose, we implement two approaches: (1) The analysis of socio-economic and policy drivers, together with yield fluctuations, by means of a partial stochastic approach; and (2) the analysis of climate change drivers by means of a bio-economic assessment. Both analyses are complementary. On the one hand, the partial stochastic analysis considers the main sources of systematic uncertainty around the macroeconomic market drivers, oil price and yield. On the other hand, the scenario analysis explores how the EU and world agri-food markets could be affected by climate change towards the year 2030. The use of both types of analyses allows us to have a broader understanding of potential drivers of price variability in the future.
International
Si
Book Edition
Book Publishing
London and New York: Routledge.
ISBN
978-1-13-893741-3
Series
Book title
Agricultural Markets Instability: Revisiting the Recent Food Crises.
From page
59
To page
73
Participants
  • Autor: Sergio Rene Araujo-Enciso
  • Autor: Maria Blanco Fonseca (UPM)
  • Autor: Marco Artavia
  • Autor: Fabien Ramos
  • Autor: Robert M'Barek
  • Autor: Benjamin van Doorslaer
  • Autor: Lucian Stanca
  • Autor: Ayça Dommez
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Economía Agraria y Gestión de los Recursos Naturales
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios Medioambientales (CEIGRAM). Centro Mixto UPM-AGROMUTUA-ENESA
  • Departamento: Economía Agraria, Estadística y Gestión de Empresas
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Cofinanciación del MINECO en el marco del Programa INNCIDE 2011 (OTR-2011-0236)
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