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Memorias de investigación
Communications at congresses:
Simulation Study of the Effect of Decreasing Truck Traffic Flow on Safety on Almeria-Barcelona Corridor
Year:2016
Research Areas
  • Engineering
Information
Abstract
In this paper the effect of truck traffic on road safety has been analyzed through simulation study. The main objective of the study is to quantify the effect of the decreasing average annual daily traffic of heavy duty vehicles (trucks) on road safety. As the road safety indicators the frequency road accidents is considered. The data used in the study were collected from one of the most crowded routes in Spain which connects Almeria (southeast) with Barcelona (northeast). The observed data covers year 2010 and were classified into 2 road types: dual carriageways and toll roads. The estimation was carried out using negative binomial model and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Using the estimation results new traffic scenarios were proposed where the traffic flow is assumed to change its values. A total of 33 scenarios were proposed and new accidents data were generated through MCMC sampling. The comparison of the simulated and observed accident data shows that the effect of decreasing truck traffic flow could meliorate road safety in the route. The simulation tool could be applied to evaluate the effects of freight modal shift from road to rail.
International
No
Congress
XII Congreso de Ingeniería del Transporte
960
Place
7, 8 y 9 de junio 2016, Valencia (ESPAÑA)
Reviewers
Si
ISBN/ISSN
978-84-608-9960-0
Start Date
07/06/2016
End Date
09/06/2016
From page
659
To page
667
Actas del XII Congreso de Ingeniería del Transporte
Participants
  • Autor: Bahar Dadashova (Associate Transportation Researcher, Transportation Institute (TTI), Texas A)
  • Autor: Blanca del Valle Arenas Ramirez (UPM)
  • Autor: M. Camino Gonzalez Fernandez (UPM)
  • Autor: Francisco Aparicio Izquierdo (UPM)
Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Grupo de Investigación: Grupo de Inv. en Seguridad e Impacto Medioambiental de Vehículos y Transportes (GIVET)
  • Grupo de Investigación: Estadística computacional y Modelado estocástico
  • Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Instituto Universitario de Investigación del Automóvil (INSIA)
  • Departamento: Ingeniería Mecánica
  • Departamento: Ingeniería de Organización, Administración de Empresas y Estadística
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