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Descripción
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| Hydrological drought threatens Mediterranean water supply systems, due to climate conditions and high water demands. This paper analyses the risk of water shortage due to drought depending on a set of variables that can be subject to alterations in time: river flows, irrigation water demand, and drought mitigation measures performed by public administrations. Impacts of climate change on the water supply system is quantified, through the analysis of plausible climate change scenarios. The effects of different drought mitigation measures implemented on the framework of Drought Management Plans are as well examined. The analysis is based on a Montecarlo simulation approach and through a probabilistic analysis of water supply system performance indices. The methodology is applied to an irrigation district on the Ebro River Basin in Spain ?Riegos de Bardenas?. Results show that drought mitigation measures applied in this context don?t have a significant impact on the system performance, in terms of volume and time reliability and basic statistics of water allocations to agriculture. Considering three scenarios of climate change consisting of 10%, 20% and 30% reductions in inflows, deficits increase by 2%, 5% and 11% respectively. | |
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Internacional
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Si |
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Nombre congreso
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8th International Conference of EWRA |
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Tipo de participación
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960 |
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Lugar del congreso
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Porto, Portugal |
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Revisores
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Si |
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ISBN o ISSN
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00000000 |
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DOI
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Fecha inicio congreso
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26/06/2013 |
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Fecha fin congreso
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29/06/2013 |
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Desde la página
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1 |
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Hasta la página
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1 |
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Título de las actas
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pendiente de publicación en la revista European Water |