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Memorias de investigación
Artículos en revistas:
Country level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe
Año:2018
Áreas de investigación
  • Cambio climático,
  • Hidrología,
  • Gestión de recursos
Datos
Descripción
A methodology for regional assessment of current and future water availability in Europe is presented in this study. The methodology is based on a proposed indicator of risk of water scarcity based on the projections of runoff and water availability for European countries. The risk of water scarcity is the combined result of hydrological processes, which determine streamflow in natural conditions, and human intervention, which determines water management using the available hydraulic infrastructure and establishes water supply conditions through operating rules. Model results show that changes in runoff and availability obtained for individual GCM projections can be large and even contradictory. These heterogeneous results are summarized in the water scarcity risk index, a global value that accounts for the results obtained with the ensemble of model results and emission scenarios. The countries at larger risk are (in this order) Spain, Portugal, Macedonia, Greece, Bulgaria, Albania, France and Italy. They are mostly Mediterranean countries already exposed to significant water scarcity problems. There are countries, like Slovakia, Ireland, Belgium, Luxembourg, Croatia and Romania, with mild risk. Northern Arctic countries, like Sweden, Finland, Norway and Russia, show a robust however mild increase in water availability.
Internacional
No
JCR del ISI
No
Título de la revista
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Siences
ISSN
2199-8981
Factor de impacto JCR
Información de impacto
Volumen
379
DOI
10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018
Número de revista
Desde la página
455
Hasta la página
462
Mes
SIN MES
Ranking
Esta actividad pertenece a memorias de investigación
Participantes
  • Autor: Luis Maria Garrote De Marcos (UPM)
  • Autor: Ana Luisa Iglesias Picazo (UPM)
  • Autor: Alfredo Granados Garcia (UPM)
Grupos de investigación, Departamentos, Centros e Institutos de I+D+i relacionados
  • Creador: Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios Medioambientales (CEIGRAM). Centro Mixto UPM-AGROMUTUA-ENESA
  • Departamento: Economía Agraria, Estadística y Gestión de Empresas
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