Memorias de investigación
Conferences:
Forecast of Frost Days Based on Monthly Temperatures. Comunicación escrita
Year:2009

Research Areas
  • Mathematics

Information
Abstract
Although frost can cause considerable crop damage and mitigation practices against forecasted frost exist, frost forecasting technologies have not changed for many years. The paper reports a new method to forecast the monthly number of frost days (FD) for several meteorological stations at Community of Madrid (Spain) based on successive application of two models. The first one is a stochastic model, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), that forecasts monthly minimum absolute temperature (tmin) and monthly average of minimum temperature (tminav) following Box-Jenkins methodology. The second model relates these monthly temperatures to minimum daily temperature distribution during one month.
International
Si
http://meetings.copernicus.org/egu2009/home.html
Entity
EGU 2009 - 6th General Assembly
Entity Nationality
Sin nacionalidad
Place
Viena, Austria
Participants

Research Group, Departaments and Institutes related
  • Creador: Centro o Instituto I+D+i: Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios Medioambientales (CEIGRAM)
  • Departamento: Edafología
  • Departamento: Matemática Aplicada a la Ingeniería Agronómica